GCJ26 – April Gold (Last:4779.10)

Can Gold correct the monster, 1660-point rally since October in mere days? It seems doubtful, but we’ll be monitoring the 4588.30 target in the chart closely nevertheless, in case it creates a bottom-fishing opportunity.  That Fibonacci-based number would represent a 62.5% retracement that overshot the 50% mark on Friday, a day after topping at 5626.80.  There is a small chance that the correction has seen its lows, since the 4713.90 closing price was just $2.20 from a downside target derived from a composite monthly chart that goes back to a notable top at 1920.70 recorded in September 2011. _______ UPDATE (Feb 2, 8:08 a.m.): This reverse pattern yields a clearer picture than the earlier one, which focused on the retracement without having the benefit of the robust rally that has occurred overnight.  The strong push through p=4725.20 has all but guaranteed the move will reach d=5027.10. It also makes a pullbback to the green line (x=4574.20) a good bet to produce a ‘mechanical’ profit of at least one level (i.e., $151).