So many traders evidently anticipated Friday’s low that the futures never got there. The peanut gallery would have been focused on Wednesday’s 3270.80 bottom as a logical place for a test of support. It was not to be, however, and my 3264.60 midpoint support finished even further out of the money when the June contract turned higher from 3274.80, a number in the middle of Nowheresville. The subsequent bounce was impulsive on the hourly chart, implying bulls had a reason to hold a position over the weekend. This seems a little too pat to me, but I won’t let skepticism cloud my thinking if bullion wants to go higher when the futures start trading again Sunday afternoon. _______ UPDATE (May 1, 12:52 p.m. EDT): Gold’s weakness appears to be merely corrective, and you can therefore expect an upturn from no lower than 3174.50. That’s a Hidden Pivot support that lies about $80 below the current price, 3225. A second possibility, dimming at the moment, would be for this morning’s so-far low at 3209.40 to support a strong rally. That’s a ‘secondary’ Hidden Pivot, and it is capable of turning things around. The so-far moderate decline since April 22 occurred after June Gold peaked within 0.6% of a 3533.90 Hidden Pivot I first featured here when the futures were trading below $2800. It stood to be a potential stumbling block, and that has been the case. However, I doubt that gold has topped for good and expect it to reach $ 5,000 an ounce or more eventually.
GCM25 – June Gold (Last:3225)