GCG25 – February Gold (Last:)

The three-day dance around p=2630.70 left me mildly bearish when the week ended, but not so bearish that I would recommend a ‘mechanical’ short at the green line. Although the bounce to the line will have occurred off our sweet spot midway between p and p2, the tedious, irregular C-D leg let off enough steam to flatten A-B’s bearish energy. That energy is what makes ‘mechanical’ trades work and the reason why this gambit is unlikely to offer the edge we seek. In any event, the D target at 2500.00 remains my worst-case low between now and December 31. It will also provide good odds for bottom-fishing with a tight stop-loss.