SIZ24 – December Silver (Last:30.432)

The 28.455 target of the reverse pattern shown started out as my worst-case correction target, but now it is probably the best we can hope for. The initial downside penetration of p=31.763 was decisive but not sufficient to make the d target a lock-up.  It still isn’t, but there’s at least a 75% chance the futures will get there. The good news is that bottom-fishing at 28.455 is likely to produce a profit, even if the pattern is too obvious to engender a bounce precisely from that number, a Hidden Pivot support. If you’re keen on getting short for the remainder of the ride, I suggest using rABC patterns on the hourly chart to set up ‘mechanical’ entry triggers. If you’re curious about how this is done, stay tuned to the chat room for guidance in real time.