AAPL – Apple Computer (Last:185.92)

A moment of truth, if not THE moment, likely impends as AAPL rises toward the green line. Assuming it gets there this week or perhaps early next, the stock would become as juicy a ‘mechanical’ short as we could hope for. If, instead, it gores bears with a move above the pattern’s ‘c’ high at 199.62, that would surely be bullish, notwithstanding the head-fake possibility I’ve warned about in the ES tout (see above). A third possibility is that AAPL will fall to d=175.31 of the reverse pattern. That would create a bottom-fishing opportunity that we should not pass up, even if the expected bounce proves to be a short-lived last gasp for this aging bull.